01 to 14 July 2019
01 to 14 July 2019
São Paulo School of Advanced Science on Scenarios and Modelling on
Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services to Support Human Well-Being
Program
July 1 to 2
July 3 to 9
July 10
July 11 to 13
Module 1
Ecosystem Services and Nature's Contribution to People
Module 2
Challenges in the Development of Scenarios and Models
Module 3
IPBES Assessment on Scenarios and Modeling
Module 4
Scenarios and Modeling to Achieve Brazil’s Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC)
DETAILED PROGRAM
Day 01 - Monday - 1st July 2019
08h00 - 09h00
09h00 - 09h15
09h15 - 09h30
09h30 - 10h00
10h00 - 10h30
10h30 - 10h50
10h50 - 12h30
12h30 - 14h00
14h00 - 15h30
15h30 - 16h00
16h00 - 18h00
18h30 - 20h00
Student registration and distribution of material
Welcome and opening remarks (André Victor Lucci Freitas, Luiz Nunes de Oliveira, Marcos Regis da Silva, Carlos A. Joly)
Short presentation about the State University of Campinas/UNICAMP (André Victor Lucci Freitas)
Presentation on FAPESP’s funding opportunities, its international cooperation agreements and other (Luiz Nunes de Oliveira)
Presentation on the Inter-American Institute for Global Change Research/IAI (Marcos Regis da Silva)
Coffee Break
Presentation on the Advanced School, its goals and expectations, professors, course schedule, and logistical arrangements (Carlos A. Joly, Paula F. Drummond de Castro)
Lunch
MODULE 1
CLASS 1/1: Introduction: Ecosystem Services and Natures Contribution to People - from BES to NCP (Unai Pascual)
Coffee Break
Plenary discussion on students' queries and expectations - Students' presentations (students have up to 1 minute each to introduce themselves)
Networking social event to promote interaction among participants
Day 02 - Tuesday, 2nd July 2019
08h30 - 10h00
10h00 - 10h50
10h50 - 12h00
12h00 - 12h30
12h30 - 14h00
14h00 - 16h00
16h00 - 16h30
16h30 - 18h00
CLASS 2/1: IPBES framework and science-policy interface (Cristiana S. Seixas)
Coffee Break
CLASS 2/2: IPBES framework and science-policy interface - Discussion with students on questions related to the subject (Cristiana S. Seixas)
Integration activities
Lunch
CLASS 3/1: Ecosystem Services and Natures Contribution to People in the Americas (Cristiana S. Seixas)
Coffee Break
CLASS 3/2: Ecosystem Services and Natures Contribution to People in the Americas - Discussion with students on questions related to the subject (Cristiana S. Seixas)
Day 03 - Wednesday, 3rd July 2019
08h30 - 10h00
10h00 - 10h50
11h00 - 12h00
12h00 - 12h30
12h30 - 14h00
14h00 - 16h00
16h00 - 16h30
16h30 - 18h00
MODULE 2
CLASS 4/1: Direct drivers in biodiversity and ecosystem services (Milton Ribeiro)
Coffee Break
CLASS 4/2: Direct drivers in biodiversity and ecosystem services - Discussion with students on questions related to the subject (Milton Ribeiro)
Integration activities
Lunch
CLASS 5/1: Indirect drivers in biodiversity and ecosystem (Thadeu Sobral)
Coffee Break
CLASS 5/2: Indirect drivers in biodiversity and ecosystem - Discussion with students on questions related to the subject (Thadeu Sobral)
Day 04 - Thursday, 4th July 2019
08h30 - 10h30
10h30 - 10h50
11h00 - 12h00
12h00 - 12h30
12h30 - 14h00
14h00 - 16h00
16h00 - 17h00
17h00 - 18h00
CLASS 6/1: Theory: What are scenarios? Different types (exploratory, target-seeking, ...);
IPBES scenarios: what the expert group has been working on (2-part strategy, SSPs/RCPs framework and only briefly Nature Futures which will be explored in detail in the second week). The role of scenarios in the science policy interface (Rob Alkemade)
Coffee Break
CLASS 6/2: Theory: Overview on modeling impacts on biodiversity based on drivers’ trajectories - different models (GLOBIO, BILBI, cSAR, etc.), different metrics (richness, abundance, etc.) (Rob Alkemade)
Integration activities
Lunch
CLASS 7/1: Coursework: guided example (intermodel comparison) of how to run a biodiversity model using projections of land use change (GLOBIO/cSAR using SSPs land use maps) (Rob Alkemade & Isabel Rosa)
Coffee Poster (Coffee Break + Poster Session)
CLASS 7/2: Discussion with the students, main challenges and interpretation of results, etc. Already start to find possible case-studies from the students (Rob Alkemade & Isabel Rosa)
Day 05- Friday, 5th July 2019
08h30 - 10h30
10h30 - 10h50
10h50 - 12h00
12h00 - 12h30
12h30 - 14h00
14h00 - 16h00
16h00 - 17h00
17h00 - 18h00
CLASS 8/1: Theory: How to model ecosystem services change under different scenarios? Multiple services, challenges, existing data and models (Rob Alkemade)
Coffee Break
CLASS 8/2: Coursework: guided example (intermodel comparison) and discussion of how ecosystem services model were used with projections of land use change (GLOBIO-ES / InVEST using SSPs land use maps) (Rob Alkemade & Isabel Rosa)
Integration activities
Lunch
CLASS 9/1: Discussion with the students, main challenges and interpretation of results, etc. (Isabel Rosa, Rob Alkemade, Jean Ometto)
Coffee Poster (Coffee Break + Poster Session)
CLASS 9/2: Coursework: Setting up groups and working on real-world case studies (Isabel Rosa, Rob Alkemade, Jean Ometto)
Day 06 - Saturday, 6th July 2019
08h30 - 10h30
10h30 - 10h50
10h50 - 12h30
12h30 - 14h00
14h30 - 18h00
Class 10/1: Coursework: Work on case study (Isabel Rosa, Rob Alkemade, Jean Ometto)
Coffee Break
Class 10/2: Coursework: Work on case study (Isabel Rosa, Rob Alkemade, Jean Ometto)
Lunch
Class 11/1: Lecture by Dr. Eduardo Assad/EMBRAPA Informática Scenarios for Brazilian crops considering climate changes
Day 07 - Sunday, 7th July 2019 - BREAK DAY
Day 08 - Monday, 8th July 2019
08h30 - 10h30
10h30 - 10h50
10h50 - 12h30
12h30 - 14h00
14h00 - 16h00
16h00 - 17h00
17h30 - 18h00
CLASS 12/1: Theory: Introduction to the Nature Futures framework (Carolyn Lundquist)
Coffee break
CLASS 12/2: Theory: Steps involved in identifying and implementing key components of the Nature Futures framework (Simon Ferrier)
Lunch
CLASS 13/1: Coursework: developing Nature Futures storylines for case studies of interest to students, as a means of identifying relevant values/impacts, drivers, pressures, policy/management responses (Carolyn Lundquist & Simon Ferrier)
Coffee Poster (Coffee Break + Poster Session)
CLASS 13/2: Discussion with the students, main challenges in introducing storylines, and identifying relevant system components (Carolyn Lundquist & Simon Ferrier)
Day 09 - Tuesday, 9th July 2019
08h30 - 10h30
10h30 - 10h50
10h50 - 12h00
12h30 - 14h00
14h00 - 16h00
16h00 - 17h00
17h00 - 18h00
CLASS 14/1: Theory: going from qualitative descriptions to quantitative projections - the need for measurable indicators (Carolyn Lundquist & Simon Ferrier)
Coffee Break
CLASS 14/2: Theory: going from qualitative descriptions to quantitative projections - the need for data and models linking relevant system components (Carolyn Lundquist & Simon Ferrier)
Lunch
CLASS 15/1: Coursework: identify specific indicators, data and models which could be used to operationalize the case studies developed the previous day (Carolyn Lundquist & Simon Ferrier)
Coffee Poster (Coffee Break + Poster Session)
CLASS 15/2: Discussion with the students about ways in which the framework of indicators, data and models designed in their case studies might be used to formulate, explore and evaluate alternative policy or management interventions to achieve positive outcomes for nature (Carolyn Lundquist & Simon Ferrier)
Day 10 - Wednesday, 10th July 2019
08h30 - 10h30
10h30 - 10h50
10h50 - 12h00
12h30 - 14h00
14h00 - 16h00
16h00 - 16h30
16h30 - 18h00
MODULE 3
CLASS 16/1: Based on the IPBES Report, Lecture on Models of Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services-A Review (Ninan Karachepone)
Coffee Break
CLASS 16/2: Applications and Case Studies: Valuation of Forest Ecosystem Services and Disservices-Case Study of a Protected Area in India and Valuation of Tiger Reserves in India (Ninan Karachepone)
Lunch
CLASS 17/1: BPBES Brazilian Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (Carlos Joly)
Summary for Policy Makers Brazilian Assessment on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (Maíra Padgurschi)
Coffee Break
CLASS 17/2: Summary for Policy Makers of Brazilian Assessments:
Summary for Policy Makers Brazilian Assessment on Pollination, Pollinators and Food Production (Kayna Agostini)
Day 11 - Thursday, 11th July 2019
08h30 - 10h30
10h30 - 10h50
10h50 - 12h00
12h30 - 14h00
14h00 - 16h00
16h00 - 16h30
16h30 - 17h30
17h30
MODULE 4
CLASS 18/1: Scenarios and modelling of the Brazilian Nationally Determined Contribution (Fernando Manuel Ramos, Aline Soterroni & Marluce Scarabello)
Coffee Break
CLASS 18/2: Scenarios and modelling of the Brazilian Nationally Determined Contribution - Discussion with students on questions related to the subject (Fernando Manuel Ramos, Aline Soterroni & Marluce Scarabello)
Lunch
CLASS 19/1: Sustainability futures: the three tomorrows towards a new normal. (Fábio Scarano)
Coffee Break
CLASS 19/2: Discussion with students on questions related to the subject (Fábio Scarano)
Students organize themselves in groups for the work to be carried out the next days
Day 12 - Friday, 12th July 2019
08h30 - 10h30
10h30 - 10h50
10h50 - 12h30
12h30 - 14h00
14h00 - 16h00
16h00 - 16h30
16h30 - 17h30
CLASS 20/1: Discussions within the working groups formed the previous day, with guidance from lecturers
Coffee Break
CLASS 20/2: Discussions within the working groups formed the previous day, with guidance from lecturer
Lunch
CLASS 21/1: Discussions within the working groups formed the previous day, with guidance from lecturers
Coffee Break
CLASS 21/2: Discussions within the working groups formed the previous day, with guidance from lecturers
Day 13 - Saturday, 13th July 2019
08h30 - 10h30
10h30 - 10h50
10h50 - 12h30
12h30 - 14h00
14h00 - 17h30
17h30
CLASS 22/1: Continued discussions within the working groups formed the previous day, with guidance from lecturers
Coffee Break
CLASS 22/2: Presentation based on each working group's discussion to the whole class, with guidance from lecturers
Lunch
Students to complete the questionnaire for evaluation of the Advanced School
Closing of the Advanced School